Winter Weather Update

Hi everyone! And happy Sunday! Here is another update on the potential for a winter storm to hit the Great Plains this coming Thursday through Friday. This past Saturday just when you think we are starting to see a good trend develop, things start to go haywire in the models and they are all over the place. This is actually pretty normal.

Here is the GFS model’s snowfall accumulations :


As you can see, not much going on here, maybe a few inches of snow for northern Kansas. The GFS has been going back and forth for days now from either hitting ares of I70 and areas north of I70 in Nebraska and Iowa. Also, looking at the GFS ensembles, there is a lot of different solutions. I have seen several that have no storm, some that hit Nebraska and Iowa with several inches of snow and several members that hit Kansas through Missouri and eastern Iowa with snow.

Here is the latest 0z EURO model :

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After a couple days of hitting Nebraska, northern Kansas and Iowa hard with heavy snow, it has shifted a bit further south into Kansas and Missouri. I guess if there is any consistency right now, It would be a more southerly track through Iowa. But my opinion is since we are still early in the season and we are in early November, this system will eventually move back north a bit. If this were in December or January, I would be buying this southerly track a bit more.